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Podcast 771 – 107 – 25 – With Tony George – College Football Playoffs & Bowls – Sports Betting

Sports Betting - Tony George
Sports Betting - Tony George - The OddsBreakers

We have a great show for you today! Tony George comes on to break down some big college football games!  First, Kiev goes into his bowl predictions from Dec 18th – Dec 24th.  Next, Tony comes on and the guys get right into some Nebraska and Wisconsin talk.  Then, we talk about how to bet bowl games and what to do when new information comes out.  After that, the boys talk some college football playoffs and early bowls with some free plays and some best bets!  Next, the guys give out a beer money bet that could make the weekend full of fun.  After that, Kiev talks some sharp money movement for the weekend and recaps our plays. Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!

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Podcast 770 – 106 – 25 – NFL & College Football Recap & Free Play Play – Fantasy Football Week 16 Playoffs – Sports Betting

We have a GREAT show for you today!  Another weekend of NFL & College Football in the books, and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly.  Next, we talk some final scores with brief box score analysis.  Then, Kiev talks about NFL & College Football misleading final scores & betting spots for next week.  Who could let down?  Who could bet flat?  Who has long or short rest?  After that, we break down some bowl games and give out some Free Plays for the week!  Finally, D-Nasty comes on to talk some fantasy football injuries, waivers, sleepers & busts.  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!   

Use Promo Code Football25 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2025 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2025

@FanDuel and @BleavNetwork

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

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If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!

You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!

Another weekend of NFL & College Football in the books, and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly.  Next, we talk some final scores with brief box score analysis.  Then, Kiev talks about NFL & College Football misleading final scores & betting spots for next week.

 

NFL Week 15 Monday Night Video Prop – Dolphins vs Steelers – Sports Betting

Andrew’s Bowl Game Preview 12/16 – 12/19

It is the most wonderful time of the year. I do not mean the Holidays; I mean Bowl Season! Throw most records out the window and dive into transfer portal and opt-out news as these will be the most important thing when into betting bowl games. As lines have already begun to move, it might be in our best interest to be patient before making any bets. I will break down each game and give the bets I am looking to make. Be sure to double-check availability reports before making wagers to ensure you are betting on a team that the players are showing up for.

  • Salute to Veterans Bowl: Troy Trojans (8-5, 6-2 Sun Belt) vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks (8-5, 7-1 CUSA)

Location: Montgomery, AL

Date, Time, Channel: December 16th, 9:00 PM/EST, ESPN

Weather: 40 degrees, Wind 0.5 MPH, Partly Cloudy

ATS Trends: Troy (9-4, 3-2 Favorite), (Jax ST 6-7, 5-4 Underdog)

Key Matchups: Jax St Rush Offense (4th YPG nationally) vs Troy rush defense (112th YPG nationally); Troy Pass Offense (221.3 YPG) vs Jax ST Pass Defense (251.1 YPG)

Key opt outs: Troy: Starting RB Tae Meadows, Possibly Starting QB Goose Crowder (Injury)

Line: Open: Troy: -3 Current: Troy: -2.5

Analysis: I do not have a great feel on this one as both teams had easy schedules, Troy was 96th and Jax St was 126th in strength of schedule. Before the bowl matchups being announced I wanted to fade all the Conference USA teams, however this a great matchup for the Gamecocks and the nation’s leading rusher Cam Cook. There is a lot of uncertainty in what we will be getting from the Trojans offense as Goose Crowder has been in and out of games all season long and his status for this game remains uncertain. I have not made to the window on this one and at this point I am leaning more towards the Gamecocks anticipating a big game from Cam Cook.

Pick: Lean Jax ST (+2.5)

  • Cure Bowl: Old Dominon Monarchs (9-3, 6-2 Sun Belt) vs South Florida Bulls (9-3, 6-2 American)

Location: Orlando, FL

Date, Time, Channel: December 17th, 5:00 PM/EST, ESPN

Weather: 69 degrees, 6.5 MPH, Partly Cloudy

ATS Trends: ODU (7-5, 2-1 Underdog) USF (9-3,5-2-1 Favorite)

Key Matchups: ODU Rushing (Offense: 7th YPG Nationally Defense: 65th) vs USF Rush (Offense:10th YPG Nationally Defense: 46th).

Key opt outs: ODU: Starting QB Colton Joseph USF: Starting QB Byrum Brown

Line: Open: USF -7.5 Current: USF -3.5

Analysis: Throughout most of the year the Bulls were the favorite to be the group of five representative in the Playoff. It must be a real gut punch seeing two group of 5 teams in the playoffs as they head east a couple of hours to play in the Cure bowl. In addition to Byrum Brown sitting this one out the some of the Bulls top receivers Chas Nimrod and Christian Neptune have been injured the last few weeks so I cannot imagine we see either of them playing in this one. Hence why my key matchups were the team’s rushing efficiencies as both starting Quarterbacks will not be participating. This is one to watch for additional opt-outs as a lot of the USF staff have bailed to Auburn. The Bulls do not seem to have much to play for or many coaches left to play for as opposed to the Monarchs who should be much more motivated to play in any bowl game. ODU certainly had a few stinkers this year but, when they played up in competition, they certainly stepped up keeping it close against Indiana and destroying Virginia Tech. I have bet this one even though I am not getting the best of the number.

Pick: Old Dominion (+3.5)

  • 68 Ventures Bowl: Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (6-6,5-3 Sun Belt) vs Delaware Blue Hens (6-6, 4-4)

Location: Mobile, AL

Date, Time, Channel: December 17th, 8:30 PM/EST, ESPN

Weather: 58 degrees, Wind 5.4 MPH, Partly Cloudy

ATS Trends: ULL (6-6,1-3 Favorite) DEL (4-7-1,3-2-1 Underdog)

Key Matchups: UL Rush Offense (29th YPG nationally) vs DEL Rush Defense (89th YPG nationally). DEL Pass offense (6th YPG nationally) vs UL Defense (87th YPG nationally)

Key opt outs: N/A

Line: Open: ULL (-3.5) Current (-3)

Analysis: It is worth mentioning this is Delaware’s first bowl game since they made their move to FBS this season. I just do not know how much trust we put into any Conference USA team,Our second of three Sunbelt vs Conference USA matchups. If three is not enough, do not worry, we will have more next week. Both teams needed a win in their final game to reach bowl eligibility with the Blue Hens needing some teams opting out to make their way to bowl season. The Ragin’ Cajuns got a little hot down the stretch winning their last four games. They did not stop anyone, but they did out score them. The Blue Hens have been an up and down team all year. You cannot really count on their defense, but you can count on the offense. The over might be another good look here it has just begun to run up on us a bit. I am leaning towards the hot hand in the Ragin’ Cajun keep an eye on their starting QB. If Lunch Winfield does not play it is a stay away.

Pick: Lean UL (-3)

  • Xbox Bowl: Missouri State Bears (7-5, 5-3 CUSA) vs Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-6, 5-3 Sun Belt)

Location: Frisco, TX

Date, Time, Channel: December 18th, 9:00 PM/EST, ESPN 2

Weather: 48 degrees, Wind 4.5 MPH, Overcast

ATS Trends: MOST (7-5, 3-3 Underdog), ARKST (7-4-1, 2-2 Favorite)

Key Matchups: MOST passing offense (22nd YPG nationally) vs ARKST Passing Defense (99th YPG nationally). ARKST Passing Offense (35th YPG nationally) vs MOST Pass Defense (75th YPG nationally)

Key opt outs: N/A

Line: Open: ARKST (-2.5) Current: ARKST (-1.5)

Analysis: Just what I was hoping for this week, another Sun belt vs Conference USA matchup. What are the chances that both teams are .500 against the spread from their respective positions? We can expect that both veteran quarterbacks in this one Jacob Clark for the Bears and Jaylen Raynor for the Red Wolves should have huge games. I should get my sanity checked because I am leaning toward the Conference USA team in this one. The Red Wolves have had so many lucky wins this year including three one-point wins. The Bears, like the Blue Hens, are in the first year in FBS, which I believe adds motivation along with this being their Senior quarterback’s final game. The hook might matter in this one.

Pick: Missouri State +1.5

  • Myrtle Beach Bowl: Kennesaw State Owls (10-3, 7-1 CUSA) vs Western Michigan Broncos (9-4, 7-1 MAC)

Location: Conway, SC

Date, Time, Channel: December 19th, 11:00 AM/EST, ESPN

Weather: 60 degrees, Wind of 9.2 MPH, Clear

ATS Trends: KSU (8-4-, 3-1 Underdog) WMU (9-3-1, 6-1-1 Favorite)

Key Matchups: KSU passing offense (51st YPG nationally) vs WMU Passing Defense (18th nationally passing YPG). KSU Rush Defense (103rd nationally rushing YPG) vs WMU rushing offense (22nd nationally rushing YPG)

Key opt outs: WMU: Could opt out, if he does, we could get a better number DE Nadame Tucker (MAC Defensive Player of the Year)

Line: Opening/Current: WMU (-4)

Analysis: The champions of the worst two FBS conferences in America square off in Conway, SC. Nadame Tucker being out for the Broncos is a huge blow but, I still see this as a bad matchup for the Owls. The Owls live and die with the deep ball and even with Tucker out the Broncos D should be able to slow them down just enough. On the other side of the ball the Owls do not offer much resistance for the Broncos running game who just went wild in the MAC championship. I like the Broncos here to prove the MAC is not the worst conference in America.

Pick: Western Michigan (-4)

  • Gasparilla Bowl: Memphis Tigers vs North Carolina State Wolfpack

Location: Tampa, FL

Date, Time, Channel: December 19th, 2:30 PM/EST, ESPN

Weather: 75 degrees, Wind 6.5 MPH, Partly Cloudy 7% chance of rain

ATS Trends: MEM (8-4, 2-1 Underdog), NCST (6-6, 4-2 Favorite)

Key Matchups: MEM Pass offense (61st Nationally YPG) vs NC ST Pass Defense (134th Nationally YPG). MEM pass defense (84th nationally YPG) vs NC ST Pass Offense (48th nationally YPG)

Key opt outs: None confirmed yet, there could be several players on NC State and Memphis.

Line: Opening: NCST (-4.5) Current: NCST (-5.5)

Analysis: Who knows what the hell we will get in this one. Memphis is another team who aspired to be a playoff berth that will be playing in a bowl game without their Head Coach. The only thing we could anticipate is that we see both teams have the starting quarterback behind center. I do not feel good about either side of this one. I would lean toward NC State but, every time I bet against the Tigers Brendon Lewis somehow looks fully healthy when he has been battling an ankle injury for weeks.  The over of 57.5 might be a look here, hard to know what to do with the Memphis coaching situation.

Pick: Lean NC ST (-5.5)

In summary I am betting on ODU (+3.5), MOST (+1.5), and WMU (+4) with leans on Jax State, UL and NC State depending on injury/opt-out news.

NFL Week 15 Sunday Fun-Day Play – Ravens vs Bengals Sports Betting

Ravens vs Bengals +3 O/U 50.5

📺 Game Info

  • Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
  • Broadcast: CBS

🏈 Game Context

  • Ravens (6–7): Baltimore has lost two straight and desperately needs a win to keep its playoff hopes alive. If they win out, they can still capture the AFC North.
  • Bengals (4–9): Cincinnati is clinging to faint playoff hopes but mostly playing for pride. They upset the Ravens 32–14 on Thanksgiving night, showing they can still be dangerous.

🔑 Key Storylines

  • Quarterback Duel: Lamar Jackson vs. Joe Burrow is the headline. Jackson wants redemption after a rough outing in their last meeting, while Burrow is looking to re-establish rhythm in the passing game.
  • Recent History: The Bengals dominated the last matchup, but Baltimore has motivation to flip the script with the division still within reach.
  • Playoff Stakes: Baltimore controls its destiny—win out and they take the AFC North, regardless of what Pittsburgh does.

📊 Matchup Factors

  • Ravens Strengths: Mobile QB play, opportunistic defense led by Kyle Hamilton.
  • Bengals Strengths: Burrow-to-Chase connection, offensive explosiveness when healthy.
  • X-Factors: Turnovers will be critical. Baltimore’s defense thrives on creating them, while Cincinnati must protect Burrow and establish balance.

📊 Team Stats

Category Ravens Bengals
Record 6–7 4–9
Points per Game 23.9 24.2
Points Allowed per Game 24.6 31.8
Total Yards 4,227 4,098
Passing Yards 2,617 3,141
Rushing Yards 1,858 1,124

🏈 Quarterback Matchup

Player Team Pass Yards TD INT
Lamar Jackson Ravens 2,060 16 5
Joe Flacco Bengals 1,636 13 4

🏃 Rushing Leaders

Player Team Rush Yards Yds/Carry TD
Derrick Henry Ravens 1,025 4.6 10
Chase Brown Bengals 727 4.2 3

🎯 Receiving Leaders

Player Team Receptions Yards TD
Zay Flowers Ravens 68 891 1
Ja’Marr Chase Bengals 91 1,015 5

🚑 Injury Report Highlights

  • Ravens: Rashod Bateman (ankle, questionable), Tavius Robinson (foot, questionable), Ar’Darius Washington (Achilles, questionable).
  • Bengals: Tee Higgins (concussion, out), PJ Jules (ankle, doubtful), Shemar Stewart (knee, out).

Prediction:

  • If there one team in the AFC North who has given the Ravens fits, it’s a Joe Burrow led Cincinnati Bengals team.
  • Over the last 10 games, the Bengals have won five of them straight up, and have covered the spread seven times.
  • I’ll get ahead of it right now.  The Bengals rushing defense sucks ranking 30th in rush EPA. This is Baltimore’s path to victory.
  • In saying that, The Ravens defense hasn’t been all that only ranks 21st in EPA themselves.
  • Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson hasn’t exactly been himself lately only ranks 12th in QBR while his team ranks a mere 23rd in offensive EPA, while the Bengals rank 30th.
  • I do not love that there is no Tee Higgens in the game for the Bengals, but as long as there is Jamar Chase, this team should be fine.
  • The Bengals went into Baltimore and slapped the Ravens around.  Why should I think that they can’t so this at home?  This game should be a Pickem at best.

Bengals +3 – 1.5 stars

NFL Week 15 Sharp Money Movement

As Of Thursday 12/11:  The most prominent sharp sides and totals

Sharp Money On:

  • Jaguars -11 to -13 hosting the Jets – 55% tickets and 67% of the money.
  • Rams -3.5 to -6 hosting the Lions – 27% tickets and 46% of the money.
  • Seahawks -10 to -14 hosting the Colts – 52% Tickets and 59% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

  • Chargers vs Chiefs under 45 to 41.5 – 43% tickets and 47% of the money.
  • Bills vs Patriots over 46.5 to 49.5 – 55% tickets and 67% of the money.
  • Ravens vs Bengals over 49.5 to 51.5 – 53% tickets and 66% of the money.
  • Raiders vs Eagles under 44.5 to 38.5 – 22% tickets and 33% of the money.
  • Vikings vs Cowboys over 45.5 to 47.5 – 63% tickets and 69% of the money

College Football Bowls December 13th – December 17th – Sports Betting – College Football

Saturday, Dec. 13

Bucked Up LA Bowl – Boise State vs. Washington -10 O/U 51.5
Location:  SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, California)
Time: 8 p.m.
TV Network:  ABC

Boise State’s Motivation:  High – They get to play a Big 10 school in the same recruiting grounds.

Washington’s Motivation:  Medium – They know how good Boise is and that they were a playoff team in 2024.

Home:  None

Boise State Potential Opt-Outs

  • S Ty Benefield
  • LT Kage Casey (declared for NFL draft)

Boise State Injuries

  • CB A’Marion McCoy (missed final two games)
  • DT Dion Washington (missed finale)
  • WR Ben Ford (hasn’t played since Week 7)

Washington Potential Opt-Outs

  • RB Jonah Coleman
  • WR Denzel Boston
  • CB Tacario Davis

Washington Injuries

  • S Makell Esteen (missed finale)
  • OLB Isaiah Ward (last played in Week 8)
  • CB Tacario Davis (missed final two games)
  • C Landen Hatchett (hasn’t played since Week 11 due to a cast on snapping hand)

Net Yards Per Play:  Washington +1.1

Basic Stats: 

Key Stats:   When looking here, two things look like they stick out.   Washington has the better net yards per play ranking 15th in the nation, while having the better strength of schedule ranking 44th t Boise’s 82nd.  I find it interesting though that Boise has a strong pass defense ranking 3rd in the nation.   Will that be enough to stop Demond Williams?

Verdict:  My cold number on this game is Washington  -10, but I think that the motivation lies more with Boise State.  When Washington stepped up in class, they got beat pretty bad against all teams in the top 25.   Wait for a better number when Denzel Boston and Jonah Coleman get announced in this game.  

Play:  Lean Boise State +10 and a take at 10.5


 

Tuesday, Dec. 16

IS4S Salute to Veterans Bowl – Troy vs. Jacksonville State +2.5 O/U 46.5
Location:  Cramton Bowl (Montgomery, Alabama)
Time:  9 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Troy’s Motivation:  Medium Low – You do not get much for beating a conference USA team.

Jacksonville State’s Motivation:  – Medium High – This team is still happy to be in the FBS.

Home:  None – Both teams less than 125 miles away.

Troy Transfer Portal

  • Starting RB Tae Meadows
  • DE DJ Jackson (350 snaps)

Troy Injuries

  • LT Elijah Prather (last played in Week 7)
  • QB Goose Crowder is questionable.

Jacksonville State Injuries

  • LG Adrian Gumm (missed finale)
  • CB Tyrin Taylor (missed finale)
  • DT Jawaun Campbell (last played in Week 11)

Net Yards Per Play:  Jacksonville State +1.21

Basic Stats:  

Key Stats:  Despite the large disparity in strength of schedule with Troy ranking 93rd, and Jacksonville State ranking 142nd,  

The Gamecocks run the ball well and rank 5th in rush attempts, while Troy struggles to defend the run ranking 81st in defensive rush EPA.   

Verdict:  This line is definitely off.  Jacksonville State has the much better offense and should be motivated here.

Play:  Jacksonville State +2.5 – 2 stars


Wednesday, Dec. 17

Staff DNA Cure Bowl – Old Dominion vs. South Florida -3.5 O/U 53.5
Location:  Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Florida)
Time:  5 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Old Dominion’s Motivation:  High – They get a chance to beat an AAC team that beat Florida.

South Florida’s Motivation:  Low – They lost their shot at the playoffs and they lost their coach to Auburn.

Home:  South Florida’s campus only 91 miles away so give the 2.5 points for that.

Old Dominion Opt-Outs

  • Starting QB Colton Joseph

Old Dominion Injuries

  • CB Botros Alisandro (last played in Week 10)

USF Opt-Outs

  • QB Byrum Brown

USF Injuries

  • S Tavin Ward (missed final two games)
  • CB James Chenault (last played in Week 11)
  • DE Dennard Flowers (missed finale)
  • WR Christian Neptune (last played in Week 12)

Net Yards Per Play:   Even both at +2.0

Basic Stats:

Key Stats:  Both quarterbacks are out, but I think that this hurts South Florida on a larger scale.  Byrum Brown was the heart and soul of this Bulls team, and backup Gaston Moore hasn’t even sniffed much playing time.   Each team is relatively equal in many aspects of the game minus strength of schedule which gives that edge to USF, and great QB play to the Bulls as well.

Verdict:  Both teams run the ball quite well.  The American Athletic conference was better than the Sun Belt.   I think this number is close to correct at -3.5 until we see more opt outs.  What I do notice is that both teams play fast with the Monarch’s ranking 21st in pace and USF ranking 2nd in pace

Play:  Strong lean to the over 53.5


 

68 Ventures Bowl – Louisiana vs. Delaware +3 O/U 59.5
Location:  Hancock Whitney Stadium (Mobile, Alabama)
Time:  8:30 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Louisiana’s Motivation:  Medium Low – Probably just happy to make a bowl game.

Delaware’s Motivation:  High – Their first bowl game in their first year of FBS football.

Home:  Semi-home for Louisiana at 255 miles away, but just .5 as Delaware should travel for this.

Louisiana Injuries

  • FS Tyree Skipper (last played in Week 11)
  • C Cooper Fordham (missed finale)

Delaware Injuries

  • RB Jo Silver (returned in finale, but only played 23 snaps)
  • OG Patrick Shupp (last played in Week 11)
  • WR Ja’Carree Kelly (missed finale)
  • TE Connor Witthoft (last played in Week 11)
  • LB Dillon Trainer (last played in Week 11)

Net Yards Per Play:  Louisiana +.19

Basic Stats:  

Key Stats:  Delaware ranks 51st in offensive success rate while Louisiana ranks 114th.  Both defenses ranks 88th and 89th in opponent EPA.  Delaware has the passing advantage against a weak pass D, while Louisiana has the rushing advantage over a weak rush D as you can see from the above chart.  

Verdict:  It’s amazing how conference USA gets so disrespected in bowl games.  Louisiana’s best win this year was probably against Texas State.  They play close games when they win.   

Play:  Delaware +3 – 2 stars


 

References:

https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2025-college-football-bowl-news-updates-opt-outs-transfer-portal-coaching-changes-injuries-tracker

College Football 2025/2026 Bowl Schedules, Odds, Home Field Advantage & Potential Motivation

If you are a college football fan, a sports bettor, or both, then you know that these college bowl games are based off of motivation, coaching, home field proximity, and player retention more than straight power.  I think that it is imperative to know what you are up against if you are trying to bet on these games.  Also keep in mind that when players enter the transfer portal, sometimes they are just trying to go shopping or force the hand of their current team to fess up some money.  It doesn’t always mean that they are opting out of the bowl game. In this article, I give you the matchup, the location, the odds, and the ever important speculation on each team’s motivation along with a potential home field advantage that you must factor into your handicaps, and office pools that you will be filling out before the games begin.   Keep in mind that my speculation on each team’s motivation is subject to change so please keep checking this article periodically during the month of December.

H = High Motivation
MH = Medium High
M = Medium
ML = Medium Low
L = Low

(all times ET)

College Football Bowl & Playoff schedule

First-round games (at campus sites)

Friday, Dec. 19

No. 9 Alabama vs No. 8 Oklahoma +1.5 O/U 40.5
Location:  Oklahoma Memorial Stadium (Norman, Oklahoma)
Time:  8 p.m.
TV Network
ABC, ESPN

All Motivated:

Home:  Oklahoma 

Saturday, Dec. 20

No. 10 Miami vs. No. 7 Texas A&M -4 O/U 51.5
Location: 
Kyle Field (College Station, Texas)
Time:  Noon
TV Network:  ABC, ESPN

All Motivated

Home: Texas A&M

No. 11 Tulane vs. No. 6 Ole Miss -17.5 O/U 56.5
Location:  
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium (Oxford, Mississippi)
Time:  3:30 p.m.
TV Network:  TNT

All Motivated  

Home:  Ole Miss

No. 12 James Madison vs. No. 5 Oregon -21 O/U 50.5
Location:  
Autzen Stadium (Eugene, Oregon)
Time: 7:30 p.m.
TV Network:  TNT

All Motivated

Home:  Oregon


CFP quarterfinals

Wednesday, Dec. 31

CFP Quarterfinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic – Miami-Texas A&M winner vs. No. 2 Ohio State
Location:  AT&T Stadium (Arlington, Texas)
Time:  7:30 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

All Motivated.

Home:  Slight home field if A&M wins against Miami.  1 pt.

Thursday, Jan. 1

CFP Quarterfinal at the Capital One Orange Bowl – James Madison-Oregon winner vs. No. 4 Texas Tech
Location:  Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Florida)
Time:  Noon
TV Network:  ESPN

All Motivated.

Home:  None

CFP Quarterfinal at the Rose Bowl Game Presented by Prudential – Alabama-Oklahoma winner vs. No. 1 Indiana
Location:  Rose Bowl (Pasadena, California)
Time;  4 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

All Motivated:

Home:  None

CFP Quarterfinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl – Tulane-Ole Miss winner vs. No. 3 Georgia
Location:  Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
Time:  8 p.m.
TV Network:   ESPN

All Motivated:

Home:  None


CFP semifinals, national championship game

Thursday, Jan. 8

CFP Semifinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl
Location:  State Farm Stadium (Glendale, Arizona)
Time:  7:30 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

All Motivated.

Home:  None

Friday, Jan. 9

CFP Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
Location:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)
Time:  7:30 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

All Motivated.

Home: None.

Monday, Jan. 19

CFP National Championship Presented by AT&T
Location:  Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Florida)
Time:  7:30 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

All Motivated.

Home:  None

Complete bowl season schedule

Saturday, Dec. 13

Cricket Celebration Bowl – South Carolina State vs. Prairie View A&M
Location:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)
Time:  Noon,
Network: 
ABC

Motivation:  Both teams motivated.

Home: South Carolina State is only 225 miles away.  Give them 2 points.

Bucked Up LA Bowl – Boise State vs. Washington -9.5 O/U 51.5
Location:  SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, California)
Time: 8 p.m.
TV Network:  ABC

Boise State’s Motivation:  High – They get to play a Big 10 school in the same recruiting grounds.

Washington’s Motivation:  Medium – They know how good Boise is and that they were a playoff team in 2024.

Home:  None

Tuesday, Dec. 16

IS4S Salute to Veterans Bowl – Troy vs. Jacksonville State +3.5 O/U 46.5
Location:  Cramton Bowl (Montgomery, Alabama)
Time:  9 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Troy’s Motivation:  Medium Low – You do not get much for beating a conference USA team.

Jacksonville State’s Motivation:  – Medium High – This team is still happy to be in the FBS.

Home:  None – Both teams less than 125 miles away.

Wednesday, Dec. 17

Staff DNA Cure Bowl – Old Dominion vs. South Florida -6 O/U 56.5
Location:  Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Florida)
Time:  5 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Old Dominion’s Motivation:  High – They get a chance to beat an AAC team that beat Florida.

South Florida’s Motivation:  Low – They lost their shot at the playoffs and they lost their coach to Auburn.

Home:  South Florida’s campus only 91 miles away so give the 2.5 points for that.

68 Ventures Bowl – Louisiana vs. Delaware +2.5 O/U 57.5
Location:  Hancock Whitney Stadium (Mobile, Alabama)
Time:  8:30 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Louisiana’s Motivation:  Medium Low – Probably just happy to make a bowl game.

Delaware’s Motivation:  High – Their first bowl game in their first year of FBS football.

Home:  Semi-home for Louisiana at 255 miles away, but just .5 as Delaware should travel for this.

Thursday, Dec. 18

Xbox Bowl – Missouri State vs. Arkansas State -2.5 O/U 56.5
Location:  Ford Center at The Star (Frisco, Texas)
Time:  9 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN2

Missouri State’s Motivation:  High – They made a bowl game in their first year of FBS play.

Arkansas State’s Motivation:  Medium Low – Probably just happy to be there.

Home:  I could see Missouri State fans showing up here so I give them 1 point.

Friday, Dec. 19

Myrtle Beach Bowl Presented by Engine – Kennesaw State vs. Western Michigan -4 O/U 49.5
Location:  Brooks Stadium (Conway, South Carolina)
Time:  11 a.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Kennesaw State’s Motivation: High – Won the conference in their second year and they get to play in their first bowl game.

Western Michigan’s Motivation:  Medium Low – They won the MAC and probably will just use this to celebrate.

Home:   None, as I could see a few fans from both.   Conway still over 350 miles away from Atlanta.

Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl – Memphis vs. NC State -5.5 O/U 57.5
Location:  Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Florida)
Time:  2:30 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Memphis Motivation:  Low – They lost their coach to Arkansas, and had higher hopes of playoffs.

NC State’s Motivation:  Medium – This team got better as the season went on.  They will show up here.

Home:  None

Monday, Dec. 22

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl – Washington State vs. Utah State -3.5 O/U 52.5
Location:  Albertsons Stadium (Boise, Idaho)
time:  2 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Washington State’s motivation:  Medium Low – Not the greatest destination, but they will want to win against a NEW Pac-12 conference opponent.  Interim coach Ben Arbuckle will try and get them going.

Utah State’s Motivation:  Medium – Shitty location, yet they get get a new Pac-12 opponent.

Home:  None

Tuesday, Dec. 23

Bush’s Boca Raton Bowl – Toledo vs. Louisville -8.5 O/U 44.5
Location:  Flagler Credit Union Stadium (Boca Raton, Florida)
Time:  2 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Toledo’s Motivation:  Medium Low – This team at least gets a power four school, but no coach yet and a lot of question marks.

Louisville’s Motivation:  Low – As a former college student, I vote to party over prepping for this weak ass bowl game.

New Orleans Bowl

Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss +4 O/U 55.5
Location:  Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
Time:  5:30 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Western Kentucky’s Motivation:  Medium – Maybe better to hit Bourbon Street, but these kids from bourbon-land can play on a hangover.

Southern Miss’s Motivation:  Medium Low – They just lost their coach, but might try and show up anyways.

Home:  Southern Miss is only 111 miles away.  Give them 2.5 points here.

Scooter’s Coffee Frisco Bowl – UNLV vs. Ohio +4.5 O/U 62.5
Location:  Ford Center at The Star (Frisco, Texas)
Time:  9 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

UNLV’s Motivation:  Medium – This team probably wanted more, but they will be about business in Frisco.

Ohio’s Motivation:  Medium – No real reason to not try as coach is on leave.   I think Ohio shows up tough for the interim coach John Hauser.

Home:  None

Wednesday, Dec. 24

Sheraton Hawai’i Bowl – California vs. Hawaii +2.5 O/U 55.5
Location:  Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex (Honolulu)
Time:  8 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Hawaii’s Motivation:  High – They will be happy to play a power 4 team at home.

Cal’s Motivation:  Medium High – Cal’s quarterback JKS is from Hawaii, so I think the team rallies behind him.

Home:  Hawaii’s home stadium, give them 3 full points.

Friday, Dec. 26

GameAbove Sports Bowl – Central Michigan vs. Northwestern -10.5 O/U 43.5
Location:  Ford Field (Detroit)
Time:  1 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Central Michigan’s Motivation:  High – They get a Big 10 school however bad it may be.

Northwestern’s Motivation:  Low – Terrible opponent and terrible venue to have to go to Detroit.

Home:  None

Rate Bowl – New Mexico vs. Minnesota -2.5 O/U 47.5
Location:  Chase Field (Phoenix)
Time:  4:30 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

New Mexico’s Motivation:  High – Get to beat a power 4 school close to home.

Minnesota’s Motivation:   Medium Low – Best to use this as a warm vacation in Phoenix.   

Home:  New Mexico for the 3 points.

SERVPRO First Responder Bowl – Florida International vs. UTSA -8.5 O/U 59.5
Location:  Gerald J. Ford Stadium (Dallas)
Time:  8 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Florida International’s Motivation:  Medium High – They already live in good weather, they will be on business here.

UTSA’s Motivation:  Medium – Former rival but not the greatest reward playing here.   Will be fine.

Home:   UTSA gets 1.5 points for being 290 miles away.

Saturday, Dec. 27

Go Bowling Military Bowl – Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina +6.5 O/U 59.5
Location:  Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium (Annapolis, Maryland)
Time:  11 a.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Pittsburgh’s Motivation:  Low – The Panther’s would rather stay home and watch re-runs of the wire than actually travel to Maryland to play the AAC.

East Carolina’s Motivation:  High – Get to beat an ACC team is a good Christmas gift.

Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl – Penn State vs. Clemson -3 O/U 48.5
Location:  Yankee Stadium (Bronx, New York)
Time:  Noon
TV Network:  ABC

Penn State’s Motivation:  High – They actually get a very good opponent here.

Clemson’s Motivation:  High – Also a very good opponent.

Home:  Maybe a little for Penn State, but nothing more than .5 being in the Northeast.

Wasabi Fenway Bowl – UConn vs. Army
Location:  Fenway Park (Boston)
Time:  2:15 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

UConn’s Motivation:  Medium High – They are close by, but a cool venue.

Army’s Motivation:  High – Military will always fight, and this is a very cool place to play.

Home:  Both are within 212 Miles away, so no home advantage.

Pop-Tarts Bowl – Georgia Tech vs. BYU -4.5 O/U 56.5
Location:  Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Florida)
Time:  3:30 p.m.
TV Network:  ABC

Georgia Tech’s Motivation:   Low – They had a shot at the Playoffs and blew it.

BYU’s Motivation:    Low – They also had a shot at the playoffs even more recently and blew it.

Home:  Give Georgia Tech .5 points for being in Atlanta, but it’s not that close at 436 miles away.

Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl – Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State -3.5 O/U 42.5
Location:  Arizona Stadium (Tucson, Arizona)
Time:   4:30 p.m.
TV Network:  CW Network

Miami Ohio’s Motivation:  Medium – Finish the season on a good note in Tucson.

Fresno State’s Motivation:  Medium Low – Not a great opponent or destination, yet they will still try and win.   

Home:  None

Isleta New Mexico Bowl – North Texas vs. San Diego State +3.5 O/U 55.5
Location:  University Stadium (Albuquerque, New Mexico)
Time:  5:45 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

North Texas’s Motivation:  Medium Low – Hopes and dreams crushed and they maybe questioning their ability while a new coach situation looms.  

San Diego State’s Motivation:  High – Great season and this team is just getting started with Sean Lewis as coach.

Home:   None, as both teams are a bit over 600 miles away from Albuquerque.

TaxSlayer Gator Bowl – Virginia vs. Missouri -7 O/U 48.5
Location:  EverBank Stadium (Jacksonville, Florida)
Time:  7:30 p.m
TV Network:  ABC

Virginia’s Motivation: Medium Low – They blew their playoff chances against Duke, but coach Bennett will get them back up.

Missouri’s Motivation:  Medium – Why not beat up an ACC opponent with the change to meet Trevor Lawrence?

Home:   None

Kinder’s Texas Bowl – LSU vs. Houston -3 O/U 41.5
Location:  NRG Stadium (Houston)
Time:  9:15 p.m.
TV Network: ESPN

LSU’s Motivation:  Medium – They might want to try and impress Lane.

Houston’s Motivation:   High – Get to play an SEC team.

Home:  Houston gets a home game here, but only 2 points of advantage down in SEC country.

Monday, Dec. 29

JLAB Birmingham Bowl – Georgia Southern vs. App State +2.5 O/U 59.5
Location:  Protective Stadium (Birmingham, Alabama)
Time:  2 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Georgia Southern’s Motivation:  Medium Low – At least they got an opponent even though it’s in the Sun Belt, not a great venue.  

App State’s Motivation:  Medium – Lucky to get a revenge spot against a Sun Belt opponent who beat them.  

Home:  None

Tuesday, Dec. 30

Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl – Coastal Carolina vs. Louisiana Tech -7 O/U 50.5
Location:  Independence Stadium (Shreveport, Louisiana)
Time:  2 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Coastal Carolina’s Motivation:  Medium Low – Fired coach and not the greatest bowl game or opponent.

Louisiana Tech’s Motivation:  Medium – Basically a home game in their state.

Home:  LA Tech is only 65 miles away.  Give them 3 points.

Liberty Mutual Music City Bowl – Tennessee vs. Illinois +5.5 O/U 61.5
Location:  Nissan Stadium (Nashville, Tennessee)
Time:  5:30 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Tennessee’s Motivation:  Medium – Get to play close to home in Nash-Vegas.

Illinois Motivation:  Medium High – Solid bowl game for this team in a fun destination.

Home:  Only 180 miles to Knoxville gives Tennessee the 2.5 points.

Valero Alamo Bowl – USC vs. TCU +6 O/U 59.5
Location:  Alamodome (San Antonio)
Time:  9 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

USC’s Motivation:  Medium High – They have been out of the playoffs for a while now and need to build up.

TCU’s Motivation:  High – Getting a chance to beat USC should be fun.

Home:  Definitely for TCU only 278 miles away.   Give them 2.5 points.

Wednesday, Dec. 31

ReliaQuest Bowl – Iowa vs. Vanderbilt -6 O/U 49.5
Location:  Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Florida)
Time:  Noon
TV Network:  ESPN

Iowa’s Motivation:  High – Kirk Ferentz loves to win bowl games.

Vanderbilt’s Motivation:  Medium High – I think that this team knew that their conference will continue to treat them like a red-headed step child.  

Home:  None

Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl – Arizona State vs. Duke -1.5 O/U 49.5
Location:  Sun Bowl Stadium (El Paso, Texas)
Time:  2 p.m.
TV Network:  CBS

Arizona State’s Motivation:  Medium High – Kenny Dillingham is a fantastic motivator.

Duke’s Motivation:  High – They will want to prove that they should have been in the playoffs.

Home:   Even at 430 miles away, this is a home game for the Sun Devils as the drive isn’t too bad.  I’ve done it.  Give them 2 points.

Cheez-It Citrus Bowl – Michigan vs. Texas -4.5 O/U 45.5
Location:  Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Florida)
Time:  3 p.m.
TV Network:  ABC

Michigan’s Motivation:  High – They are keeping their coaches and the young quarterback will want to beat an SEC team.

Texas’s Motivation:  Medium – They felt they deserved the playoffs, but Arch was more starch this year.

Home:  None

SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl – Nebraska vs. Utah -15.5 O/U 50.5
Location:  Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas)
Time;  3:30 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Nebraska’s Motivation:  Medium – May be more fun to party out in Vegas than play this game.

Utah’s Motivation:  Medium High – I think they show up against the big 10 even though they missed the playoffs.

Home:  None

Friday, Jan. 2

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl – Rice vs. Texas State -10 O/U 59.5
Location:  Amon G. Carter Stadium (Fort Worth, Texas)
Time:  1 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Rice’s Motivation:  High – This team was terrible and somehow they get to play in a bowl game.

Texas State’s Motivation:  Medium – This team was better than their record, but still may show up here.

Home:  None – both teams about 270 miles away in the Houston area.

AutoZone Liberty Bowl – Navy vs. Cincinnati +2.5 O/U 55.5
Location:  Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium (Memphis, Tennessee)
Time:  4:30 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Navy’s Motivation:  High – Military always shows up.

Cincinnati’s Motivation:  Low – QB Brendan Sorsby may not even play, while the Bearcats for a minute thought they could win the Big 12.

Home:  None

Duke’s Mayo Bowl – Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State -2.5 O/U 56.5
Location:  Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte, North Carolina)
Time:  8 p.m.
TV Network:  ESPN

Wake Forest’s Motivation:  High – Get to beat an SEC team close to home.

Mississippi State’s Motivation:  Medium High – They haven’t went bowling in a while.   

Home:  Definitely Wake Forest as they are only 85 miles away.  Give them 2.5 points.

Trust & Will Holiday Bowl – Arizona vs. SMU +3 O/U 51.5
Location:  Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego)
Time:  8 p.m.
TV Network:  Fox

Arizona’s Motivation:   Medium High – Good bowl game and showcase for QB Noah Fifita if he plays.

SMU’s Motivation:  Low – Missed their chance at the playoffs at the end of the season by losing to Cal.

Home:  This is more old Pac 12 country and U of A will have more fans.   1 point home field advantage for U of A.

Free Play!   San Diego State +3.5 – 2 stars – I like this down to PK!

Podcast 769 – 105 – 25 – With Mike Palm – NFL Week 15 – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
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We have a HUGE show for you today!  The Vice President of Circa Sports @CircaSports in the Maestro Mike Palm @MikePalmCirca is back to break down a massive NFL weekend!  First, Kiev goes over some NFL ATS and O/U trends.  Next, Mike comes on and the guys get right into Circa Survivor and the carnage that took this down to 10 entries.  Then, Mike and Kiev cover every single NFL game from an ATS and O/U perspective with some FREE PLAYS and Best Bets!  After That, we get into some beer bet bangers to sniff out some good + money.  Then Kiev talks about his refuse to lose teaser that is 6-8 for the season.  Next, we go over some sharp money movement for the week.  Finally, Kiev recaps our plays!  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!

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NFL Week 15 Thursday Night Video Prop – Falcons vs Buccaneers – Sports Betting

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