Tuesday Opening Night NBA System along with an 18-1 NHL Power system and Game 1 of the N.L.C.S Headlines. MLB Comp play below
The Tuesday MLB comp play is on Cleveland at 4:10 eastern. Game 5 home favorites off a win and 2 previous losses with a win in game 1 are winless since 2004 in this sequence scenario, if the posted total is at least 7.The NYY are 1-4 off a win. Cleveland has won 21 of 27 on the road, They are 9-1 after scoring 2 or less runs and 8-0 off a loss as well as 8-0 vs a team that just allowed 2 or less runs. Civale for Cleveland has allowed 2 or less runs in 8 of his last 9 starts and While he may only be in for 1 to 2 turns around the batting order will keep them in the game. Cleveland has seen Cortes and had 6 hits in 2 run over 5 innings against him. Cleveland has a solid chance here and is a live dog. On Tuesday an Opening night NBA Power system play is up along with Game 1 N.L.C.S Historical system and a big 18-1 NHL System. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on twitter/facebook to Jump on as we continue to cash in all sports. For the MLB Comp play. We will take a shot with Cleveland. Rob Vinciletti
Added one play in red and more picks might be added, but sending this again to all! The NBA is back, baby, our MOST PROFITABLE SPORT! Let’s get it!
Opening Night, October 18
76ers/Celtics over 214 (-110), to win 1 unit
Celtics -2 (-110), to win 1 unit
Two top Eastern Conference opponents faceoff in Week 1 and I think Boston is set for some regression after they lost Ime Udoka for the season – Ime brought an intensity and defensive-minded approach to Boston that hardened them and prepared them for more success last year. They’ll miss his gritty style, and the 76ers are still super talented and poised to prove something out the gate. We saw high totals last year in the openers and I expect the same here; defenses need a little time to adjust. This line should not be at 2, it’s moved too much to accommodate Philly, and we strongly think that’s the wrong movement. Boston was in the Finals for a reason, they’re revamped, and even without their coach it’s the first game at home and it’s a revenge season. Boston takes care of business.
Warriors 1Q -2 or less (-110), to win 1 unit
Just a 1 unit play since it’s the first game of the season and that creates more volatility, but Lebron can be predictably overconfident in these spots and I don’t think that’s going to work against the defending champs. Draymond will play for Golden State and the Russ/Beverly combo looks like it’ll be a real show; one that should create some real inefficiencies immediately for the Lakers. If they’re going to be good this year, it won’t be on opening night, and it won’t be in the opening quarter. I like the Warriors to ransack the Lakers early– this probably isn’t out as most books yet but look for it as we get closer to Tuesday.
October 19
Heat 1H -3 or less, to win 1 unit
The Bulls won’t start off as hot this year, in my opinion, while the Heat are already getting discredited and underestimated by NBA “experts.” Miami is at home and we’ve seen Chicago crawl back into these games– I’d rather take a 1st half line on a Heat team that’s just waiting to bounce on a softie like Chicago.
Hawks -9.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
The Hawks won’t have to be that impressive to win by double digits here, in my opinion. The Rockets are one of the least talented teams in the NBA since they lost
Mavericks +4.5 (110), to win 1.5 units
This line is crazy, if you ask me. Even at home, there are all kinds of sell-signs on the Suns’ right now. The debacle with their owner, they’re trying to trade a key piece in Jae Crowder, Ayton seems like he’s barely interested in playing basketball. No thanks. I love the addition of Christian Wood for Dallas and I think the Mavericks are quietly building one of the most effective lineups in the NBA. They bested Phoenix in the postseason and that wasn’t a fluke.
We have a great but short show for you today! Kiev O’Neil recaps a big weekend in college and NFL football! First, Kiev get’s into the Good, the Bad and the Ugly from the weekend. Next, we get into some College and NFL football recap with box score analysis, injuries and betting spots. Then, Kiev gives out a FREE PLAY for college football week 8! Finally, D-Nasy is back and the boys get into fantasy football with their key injuries, waiver wire, and players trending up for next weekend! Want to ask us something for the Monday Mailbag? Or just want us to break down a game? Send us the question at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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The NHL returns after a brief one-day hiatus. I’m going to keep today’s article pretty short but I should have a more detailed one on Wednesday. As always I appreciate the support! Let’s break down today’s slate.
Game Previews:
Arizona Coyotes @ Toronto Maple Leafs
The Arizona Coyotes have started off the season like most expected, 0-2. They currently have the 3rd worst goal differential at -7. To give the Coyotes some credit, they have played two solid teams in Boston and Pittsburgh. Toronto has won their last two games after being upset in their season opener by the Canadiens.
TOR: E. Kallgren (0-0-0), 0.00 GAA, 0.00 SV%
ARI: K. Vejmelka (0-2-0), 5.55 GAA, 0.884 SV&
Anaheim Ducks @ New York Rangers
The Ducks had an impressive comeback win against the Kraken in their season opener. On Saturday, the Islanders completely dismantled them winning 7-1. The Rangers have started the season 2-1 with their only loss coming at the hands of the Winnipeg Jets.
ANA: J. Gibson (1-1-0), 5.35 GAA, 0.880 SV%
NYR: I. Shesterkin (2-0-0), 2.02 GAA, 0.935 SV%
Vancouver Canucks @ Washington Capitals
The Canucks have dropped their first two games of the season losing to Edmonton and Philadelphia. Washington is 1-2 on the year losing to Boston and Toronto.
VAN: T. Demko (0-0-0), 3.62 GAA, 0.873 SV%
WSH: D. Kuemper (1-1-0), 2.54 GAA, 0.902 SV%
Florida Panthers @ Boston Bruins
The Florida Panthers and the Boston Bruins have both started the season off 2-0. Florida defeated the Islanders and Sabres by a combined score of 7-4. Boston has looked extremely impressive defeating the Capitals 5-2 and the Coyotes 6-3.
FLA: S. Bobrovsky (1-0-0), 1.00 GAA, 0.970 SV%
BOS: L. Ullmark (1-0-0), 2.00 GAA, 0.943 SV%
Colorado Avalanche @ Minnesota Wild
Colorado has started the season 1-1 with their sole loss coming in Calgary. The Wild are 0-2, dropping games to the Rangers and Kings.
COL: A. Georgiev (1-0-0), 2.00 GAA, 0.882 SV%
MIN: F. Gustavsson (0-1-0), 4.74 GAA, 0.850 SV%
Winnipeg Jets @ Dallas Stars
The Jets opened their season up with a 4-1 victory over the New York Rangers. Dallas is also undefeated starting the season 2-0 defeating Nashville twice.
WPG: C. Hellebuyck (1-0-0), 1.00 GAA, 0.976 SV%
DAL: J. Oettinger (2-0-0), 1.00 GAA, 0.968 SV%
Carolina Hurricanes @ Seattle Kraken
Carolina’s 2-0 to start the season defeating the Blue Jackets and Sharks by a combined score of 6-2. Seattle is 1-1-1 losing to Vegas and Anaheim in OT. However, they did knock off the Kings 4-1.
CAR: F. Anderson (1-0-0),1.00 GAA, 0.969 SV%
SEA: P. Grubauer (0-0-1), 3.70 GAA, 0.848 SV%
Pick(s):
Colorado Avalanche ml (-122) – Barstool
Risk 0.30 to win 0.25 Units
The Avalanche will look to rebound after losing 5-3 to Calgary on Thursday. They’ve had a few days off and should be well-rested for tonight’s matchup. Minnesota has yet to win a game this season losing to the Rangers and the Kings. In both of those games, they allowed seven goals against. Colorado’s offense is much better than both those teams and should be able to exploit Minnesota’s weak defensive unit.
Winnipeg Jets/ Dallas Stars Under 6.5 (-134) – Barstool
Risk 0.34 to win 0.25 Units
The Jets and the Stars enter this game both undefeated. Winnipeg has only played one game so far and were able to hold the Rangers to just one goal. Dallas shut down Nashville only allowing two goals combined in their first two games. Both of these teams are extremely impressive defensively. When you combine that with two top-tier goaltenders in Connor Hellebuyck and Jake Oettinger, I like this game to stay under the total.
Player Props to Target:
William Nylander over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-175) – Barstool
William Nylander has started the year off strong going over this number in each of his first three games. Last season against the Coyotes, he recorded over 2.5 Shots on Goal in both matchups.
Auston Matthews over 4.5 Shots on Goal (-127) – Caesars
Auston Matthews has recorded over 4.5 Shots on Goal in each of the first three games this season. Last season against the Coyotes, he recorded over 4.5 Shots on Goal in both matchups.
Mikko Rantanen over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-145) – Caesars
Mikko Rantanen has recorded over 2.5 Shots on Goal in each of his last nine games against the Minnesota Wild! This year, he’s gone over this number once in the first two games.
Jason Robertson over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-129) – Caesars
Jason Roberston recorded over 4.5 Shots on Goal in all four matchups against the Winnipeg Jets last year. This year, he’s gone over this number in both of the first two games.
Alexander Ovechkin over 0.5 Power Play Points (+105) – DraftKings
The Vancouver Canucks currently have the second-worst Penalty Kill Percentage as a team (55.6%). Last season, Alex Ovechkin recorded at least one Power Play point against the Canucks in both matchups.
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.
Monday night Game Of The Month headlines in the NFL with a rare MNF Specific system. We also have a 5* NHL Total and Game 5 of The A.L.D.S Monday Comp Play below
On Monday the NHL Comp Play is on The Florida Panthers at 7:05 eastern. Florida fits a rare system that pertains to game 3 of the NHL Season which shows road favorites are 4-0 off 2 initial wins vs an opponent off a home win. Also of note is that home dogs like Boston that are 2-0 are winless vs a team that arrives off a road win. Florida has won 28 of 36 on Mondays and the Favorite is 4-1 in the series of late. Florida had won 11 of 13 as a road favorite. Look for Florida to get the win. On Monday a Powerful card is up with the Monday night Football Game of the Month, a 5* NHL Totals System and Game 5 of the Divisional Series All with Perfect Systems from the Database. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on twitter/facebook to Jump on as we start the week Big. For the NHL Comp play. Go with The Panthers. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
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New England vs Cleveland -3 O/U 43
Lots of questions this game. Who will be quarterback for the Patriots especially now that Mac Jones is questionable? I think the answer is clearly Bailey Zappe who played wonderfully vs the Lions. I honestly have the Browns, and the Patriots minus Mac Jones power rated pretty evenly making my spread on this game close to a pickem, but it is the total that I am looking at here. Now let’s face it, the Lions should have scored some points last game in Foxborough gaining over 300 yards, and I think that it shows the Patriots defense much better than they actually are. Cleveland themselves is a pretty fast paced team ranking 5th in plays per game. Their numbers look good althought their strength of schedule has been quite easy thus far. The Patriots and Browns are looked at to be rushing teams and that is why this total is so low, but if you actually look at the advanced stats, you will see that the Browns rank dead last in Rush EPA and the Patriots rank 27th. On the other hand, the Browns rank 3rd in offensive EPA scoring 26.6 points per game while the Patriots rank an average 15th at 20.6 points per game. The weather is looking good in Cleveland for Sunday and I am taking this over.
Over 43 – 2 stars
Carolina vs LA Rams 10 O/U 40.5
Sometimes you have to get a little dirty before you get clean. Something is very wrong with this Rams team. They are just not good after a strong 5 week sample size. The Shams rank 30th in offensive EPA on a positive turnover differential. Believe it or not, the Panthers are the better rushing team at 90 yards per game compared to 62 for the Rams. This is significant considering that this total is lower than 41 The Panthers are a bad team and they lost their quarterback Baker Mayfield to injury last week, but in all seriousness, how much should we downgrade them to PJ Walker? Can’t be more than three points, and PJ has been with this team for some time now. When a coach gets fired, it is a play on spot and I think that the Panthers have a shot here to somewhat redeem themselves. The Rams move the ball through the air and that is the only thing that the Panthers are decent at stopping on defense ranking 21st in drop-back EPA and 8th in success rate. I think that they can keep this game within 10 points.
Sunday Card has the NFC East Game of the Year on SNF and our Executive Level TIER 1, There is also a Top Total and an early 5* Side. In MLB we have a Never lost Playoff System with a TOP 6* Rating. NFL Comp play below.
The NFL comp Play is on the Green Bay Packers at 1:00 eastern. The Packers off a stunning loss to the Giants will look to rebound here at home vs the Jets. NY has pulled back to back upsets and pertains to a very rare system that plays against road dogs off a home dog win and prior road win, if they scored more 37 or more points last out and the opponent is off a loss. These 4 teams in this system have all lost and failed to cover and lose by an average 20 points per game. The Jets have failed to cover 6 of 8 off a win and 12 of 15 after scoring 30+ points. They have failed to cover 15 of 21 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. The Packers have failed to cover 12 of 15 off a loss, 10 of 14 vs a winning team and 9 of 12 in October games. They have a top 5 defense in total yards allowed. The Jets took advantage of a banged up Dolphins team using their 3rd string Qb a 7th round pick in Skylar Thompson. Now they get a motivated A-Rog. Could be a long day for gang green. We will BACK THE PACK Today. The NFC East Game of the Year Headlines on Sunday along with a an Executive Level Tier 1 Side a Top Total and a massive 6* MLB Undefeated Playoff System. NFL Top Ranked on multiple leader boards. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on twitter/facebook to jump on. For the NFL Comp play. Go with Green Bay. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.
Welcome to a new 2022 Theoddsbreakers.com endeavor. Getting you, our loyal readers some insight into developing NFL DFS Lineups built to perform in Double/Triple-Ups, Head to Head’s and 50/50s. Building a high-floor winner every week in these formats allows your bankroll to grow and take some shots at the High dollar contests that DFS has to offer.
Our record this season is now 3-2 in the high participant Double-Ups. Tom Brady let us down last week ending our 3 week win streak.
I’ll be bringing you my DFS picks for the main Sunday slate of games. If you play on DraftKings, it is a 11-game slate starting at 12:00 Central time. This article will be primarily focused on the DraftKings slate, so if you use Fanduel or any of the other DFS platforms you may have different rosters and values.
Joe Burrow, QB: $6,700. The Ravens had a plan last week against Burrow and executed well. They kept him off balance getting plenty of pressure up front and played soft and deep taking away big plays from Ja’Marr Chase. Burrow struggled early and then reluctantly began to take what they gave him. He should have no such problems this week. New Orleans has struggled to get pressure on opposing QBs without blitzing averaging just 2.0 sacks per game. They will also be without Marshon Lattimore at corner who is #1 in the NFL with 70 man to man routes run against him without allowing a touchdown. Marcus Maye could still play Sunday, but I think he will be out at safety as well. Cincy and Burrow should be able to get big plays down the field in this one and I like Bengals stacks big time.
Jeff Wilson Jr., RB: $6,200. Wilson continued to get primary play in the backfield for the 49ers and went off against a good Panthers rushing defense last week for 120 Yards and a TD on only 17 carries. Tevin Coleman did get 2 Touchdowns of his own so it’s possible he steals a few more carries, but I think Wilson will get 20 touches still in this one. Look for the 49ers to establish a physical presence early in this one as they will look to sustain long drives and keep and injured defense off the field and fresh as much as possible.
Breece Hall, RB: $5,800. The Packers rushing defense has gotten bashed in the last two weeks against the Patriots and Giants even though they knew it was coming. It looks like a weak spot that can be exposed. They are currently allowing 4.8 Yards per attempt. If the Jets can hang around they will continue to pound the rock all game. Hall is averaging 4.9 yards per carry himself so look for the success to continue here. Michael Carter has stolen his goal line carries which is my concern today. If you don’t want to take a chance on the Jets falling behind and having to pass the ball Rhamondre Stevenson is also a nice option here.
Ja’Marr Chase, WR: $7,700. Teams have been doing everything they can to keep him out of the end zone and it has worked well up to this point as he has only found the end-zone twice. For all the reasons I listed above that changes this week in New Orleans. The Saints will be depleted and with this being the homecoming to Louisiana for Chase and Burrow they are gonna want to show up in a big way.
DK Metcalf, WR: $6,800. I think there will be points, points and more points in Seattle Sunday. DK and Geno have seemingly worked out some chemistry as he is averaging 10 targets over the last three weeks. Arizona is allowing 7.1 Yards per passing attempt and is 27th is Pass DVOA. The Cardinals lead the league in tempo and I think they’ll score so Seattle will have to pass to keep up and Metcalf should be in play. If you want to save some money here Tyler Lockett is also a solid pick, but Metcalf has gotten the red zone targets.
Isaiah McKenzie, $5,000. McKenzie is a value play in the Bills/Chiefs slugfest. He didn’t play last week vs the Steelers due to concussion protocols, but had 15 targets in the previous two games and should get most of the slot work against the Chiefs. Gabe Davis had a breakout game against the Steelers last week, but I think the Chiefs will look to roll coverage to Diggs and take away Davis as a deep option so the slot should be the prime spot Josh Allen looks to especially early on Sunday.
Daruis Slayton, $3,800. Well it was only one week, but with Kenny Golladay and Kadarius Toney still out for the Giants and Wan’dale Moore still questionable Slayton could be the top option again outside. He caught 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards in London against the Packers last week.
Zach Ertz, TE: $4,900. Ertz keeps raking in targets and catches with at least 6 grabs in the last four games. The Seahawks have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season and its really not close. Look for a big game for Ertz in this one. Gonna be 78 degrees with no wind in Seattle Sunday as well.
Jacksonville, DST: $3,000. The Jags defense shut out Indy week 1. They sacked Matt Ryan five times. Indy is allowing an NFL worst 4.2 sacks per game. Everyone is saying this is the spot for the Colts to enact revenge and that could be true. But I don’t see this being a shootout. This Colts offense hasn’t topped 20 points yet. I don’t expect it to start now.
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This will be the best big 10 game of the weekend, but seeing Michigan as a 7 point favorite is close to where I have this power rated. Michigan shows that they are a top 5 offense in efficiency and top 8 in EPA, but that is very hard to trust being that their schedule was so easy the first 4 games or so. Sagarin has their SOS 111th. Penn state is the first ranked team that they will be facing. Penn State’s offense isn’t one to get two excited about either being that they also haven’t beaten a ranked team. What I like about both of these teams is their defenses. Each team is holding their opponents to less than 15 points, and both teams rank in the top 14 in defensive EPA. As far as Tempo is concerned, Penn State ranks 79th and Michigan at 119th so I am not worried about a fast game. The under is 5-1 in Nittany Lions last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. The under is 6-1 in Wolverines last 7 games overall.
Take the Under 52.5 – 2 stars
Alabama vs Tennessee +8.5 O/U 65
This might be the best game of the week with College Game Day being there and all. I have to assume that Bryce Young is playing this game. I don’t think there is much that we need to say about Alabama except that they are similiar to what they were last year. Alabama will play some close games, and this is one that the Vols have circled. Alabama has a nice 1.7 net yards per play advantage over Tennessee, but the Vols rank 5th in EPA margin to Alabama’s 7th. Tennessee’s weakness is against the pass. They are down two defensive backs and they give up over 300 yards passing per game. The good thing for Tennessee is that Alabama has to run the football to set up the pass, and if they can’t do that, they are not the greatest passing team this year at only 8.1 yards per attempt and 54th in pass EPA. I have Alabama -6 points here on the road. I am playing Tennessee.
Tennessee +8.5 – 2.5 stars
USC vs Utah -3.5 O/U 65
This night game will be worth staying up for. It is finally time to see what this USC team is all about. USC is now the old Oklahoma of the pack 12. They keep getting by with an easy schedule and they win some gams that they maybe shouldn’t of. Last week, I thought that Washington State put up a decent fight and this game should have been closer. USC only outgained the cougs by 53 yards. I also thought USC should have lost in Corvallis a few weeks back. Utah has had their hiccups vs the Gators and last week when we were on the Bruins, but they also have a huge home field advantage at home and especially at night. Both of these teams are ranked quite similar in offense both 12th and 11th in success rate yet Utah I feel has the better defense ranking 46th in success rate to USC’s 102nd. A big question for USC is Jordan Addison. He is their best wide receiver who is questionable for this game. USC is also more banged up in other positions compared to Utah. I love the fact that Utah played an explosive fast paced team in UCLA last week and I think that helps them prepare for SC this week.
Massive Saturday Card up with 5 Top Level College Football Plays including The Mountain West Conf. Play of the Year and 2 more MLB Playoff selections. CFB Comp play below.
The CFB Comp Play is on Minnesota at 12 noon eastern. The Gophers fit the nifty 9-0 road favored system below which is winning by an average 19 points per game. The game boasts the #1 and #1 defenses in points allowed. The Difference is Minnesota has a much better offense and is the reason why they are favored at 4-1 despite being non ranked against a 5-1 Illinois team that has failed to cover 9 of 12 at home vs a winning road tea,. Minnesota has covered 6 of 7 after scoring less than 20 and 6 of 7 vs winning teams. In the series Minnesota has covered 6 of 8 here at Illinois. Make it Minnesota today. On Saturday a Huge card is up and led by the Mountain West Conference Game of the Year. In MLB Action we have 2 more Top plays along with NHL Early season Power Play system . See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on twitter/facebook to Jump on now as we stay red hot in all sports. For the Free play., Go with the Gophers. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
SU:9-0-0
ATS:9-0-0
Nov 12, 2016Saturday112016LSUARKaway7-014-77-310-038-10-7.546.52820.51.511.0-9.5WWO0
Oct 21, 2017Saturday82017TROYGASTaway7-314-010-03-734-10-8.549.52415.5-5.55.0-10.5WWU0
Oct 28, 2017Saturday92017SDSUHAWaway7-07-77-07-028-7-9.553.52111.5-18.5-3.5-15.0WWU0
Oct 28, 2017Saturday92017OKSTWVAaway13-010-107-1420-1550-39-8.077.0113.012.07.54.5WWO0
Oct 27, 2018Saturday92018JVSTMURaway14-67-37-614-042-15-8.058.02719.0-1.09.0-10.0WWU0
Nov 01, 2018Thursday102018NILAKRONaway7-717-35-167-036-26-6.538.5103.523.513.510.0WWO0
