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Week 6 CFB Free Plays

By
Michael Fordham
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With a premium winner on the Houston/Tulane OVER last night, I improved to 37-26-1, +18.01 in CFB this season. My premium record currently sits at 27-13-1, +21.38u, and I’ve got 5 premium plays for my members in this Week 6 slate. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*CFB(1u): Maryland TT UNDER 25(-120) @ Ohio State–Sat. 11 AM CT

Maryland was a public underdog last week against Iowa, and, well, we saw how that went. Taulia Tagovailoa threw 5 INT’s, and the Terps coughed the ball up 7 times. I had a premium winner on Iowa in that game because I couldn’t understand what people saw in the Terrapins offense. In their 3 games against FBS opponents leading up to last week, Maryland averaged less than 30 PPG, so last week’s result shouldn’t have been a major surprise. Ohio State’s defense is nowhere near the caliber of Iowa’s defense, but they certainly have the talent to be. This Buckeyes unit got off to a slow start in their first 3 games, and considering they’ve played Akron and Rutgers leading into this matchup, it’s hard to know if the defense has made the proper adjustments since DC Kerry Combs was demoted. I’m willing to bet they have, but this play more so stems from the fact that I still think this Maryland offense is being overvalued by the betting markets. I like the Buckeyes defense to continue their upward trend and show out nicely in front of a home crowd in Columbus. 

*2 Team CFB Teaser(1u): Tennessee -4.5 vs South Carolina AND West Virginia +8.5 @ Baylor(-110)–Sat. 11 AM CT

Tennessee absolutely exploded offensively last week, putting up 62 points and 683 total yards(458 on the ground) in a runaway win at Missouri. Ever since Hendon Hooker was inserted at QB, this Vols offense has clicked at a much higher rate. South Carolina’s one saving grace is their defense, but they will need a miracle performance from that unit to keep them in this game. The Gamecock offense has averaged just 14 PPG against FBS competition this year and simply doesn’t have the talent needed to go back and forth with a Josh Heupel led offense. I think the Vols will carry their momentum over from last week and win comfortably at home.

I would classify West Virginia as a team that plays exactly to the level of their competition. That’s great when playing a team that is much better than you, as shown by a close 3 point loss to Oklahoma two weeks ago. But that also leaves you vulnerable to losing games you shouldn’t, such as a home loss to Texas Tech last week. I’m frankly not that high on Baylor(I’m 2-1 betting against them this season), but they deserve to be favored at home. West Virginia will be bailed out by the fact that Baylor doesn’t generate explosive plays very effectively, so the hope is that Jarrett Doege and the Mountaineer offense can pull away with some deep shots of their own. I have no clue who will end up winning this game, but I feel very confident that it will be a one possession game in either direction.

*CFB(1u): East Carolina +10(-110) @ UCF–Sat. 5 PM CT

It’s only year 1 in Gus Malzahn’s tenure in Orlando, yet things have already gone haywire. UCF’s star QB and RB have gone down with serious(if not season-ending) injuries, and the usually relevant G5 program has already suffered 2 losses. Coming off a BYE week, the Knights laid a total egg last week in an outright loss to winless Navy. Now, they’ll have to recover quickly and face a stingy ECU team that has seen their stock trending upwards. After starting out the season 0-2, the Pirates have made a complete 180 on their season, winning each of its past 3 ballgames(key wins over Marshall and Tulsa). 4th year starting QB Holton Ahlers has this offense clicking on all cylinders right now, and while UCF’s defense is improved this season, there wasn’t much else to go but up for that unit. UCF QB Mikey Keene didn’t look horrible against Navy last week, but he’s still got a long ways to go in his development considering he’s a true freshman. The Pirates have a considerable edge at QB, and even though Ahlers will have to deal with the hostile environment that the Bounce House presents, his experience at this level should give him poise in this game. We’re catching a hot team at the right time getting 2 possessions worth of points in a game they wholeheartedly expect to win. Sign me up. 

*CFB(1u): Notre Dame PK(-105) @ Virginia Tech–Sat. 6:30 PM CT

Virginia Tech won in Week 1 in a standalone game against North Carolina; while impressive, I think that win has given the betting public the wrong impression of who this team is. We’ve since learned that North Carolina’s offensive line is absolutely horrendous(Sam Howell has been sacked 22 times through 5 games), so VaTech’s defensive effort in that game looks less special now than it did then. In their past 3 games, the Hokies have averaged less than 26 PPG(2 of those games were against Middle Tennessee and Richmond), and they lost outright to a fairly mediocre West Virginia team. QB Braxton Burmeister is not a huge threat through the air, and the RB’s lack the explosiveness that has plagued Notre Dame this season. The Irish are the much more battle-tested team entering this matchup, having already squared off against Florida State, Purdue, Wisconsin, and Cincinnati. While the QB situation is uncertain entering this game, I expect either Jack Coan or Drew Pyne to provide a bigger threat in the passing game than Burmeister. We can’t forget that Justin Fuente’s seat was scorching hot entering the season, and for good reason. The Hokies have fallen from grace since he took that job, and I wouldn’t be surprised if this is the loss that finally forces him out of Blacksburg. Give me the Irish on the road in a pick-em game. 

*CFB(1u): Kentucky TT UNDER 27(-120) vs LSU–Sat. 6:30 PM CT

Tip your cap to Kentucky for pulling off the upset against Florida last week and improving to 5-0. But if they played Florida 10 times, I think they’d lose 7 or 8 of those 10 games. The Wildcats were out-gained 382-224 by Florida, yet a blocked field goal return for a TD and 115 yards worth of Gator penalties proved to be the difference. The reality is that Kentucky’s offense hasn’t improved much better despite bringing in a more modern system this offseason. Will Levis went 7/17 for 87 yards last week for crying out loud. LSU is at a crossroads with Ed Orgeron and just lost 2 key pieces on the defensive side of the ball(including CB Derek Stingley), but they aren’t sitting at 3-2 because of their defense. They have allowed a respectable 24.5 PPG in their 2 SEC games, and that came against decent offenses in Miss State and Auburn. Kentucky’s OL could easily get outmatched in this game by LSU’s big-bodied DL, which would force the Wildcats into some undesirable 3rd-and-long passing situations. Until Kentucky can prove some sort of competency . 27 is an awfully high Team Total for an offense that’s looked as bad as they have. 

*CFB(1u): UCLA/Arizona 1H OVER 31(-110)–Sat. 9:30 PM CT

UCLA continued its inconsistencies last week with a blowout loss at home to an undervalued Arizona State team(I had Arizona St in a teaser that ended up cashing). The Bruins allowed numerous chunk plays both through the air and on the ground and simply couldn’t make up the deficit. Throw that result out, because this is a totally different class of matchup. Arizona hasn’t won a football game in almost 2 years dating back to 2019, so it’s going to take HC Jedd Fisch a little while to build this program back up. Perhaps the Wildcats can hang with UCLA up front, but they are very susceptible in their back 7 defensively. The Bruins have run the ball well this season with a 2-headed system, and Dorian Thompson-Robinson is plenty dynamic leading the offense. Chip Kelly and his crew should take out last week’s loss on a clearly outmatched Arizona defense early and often; in fact, it’s not out of the realm that they surpass the 31 point mark in the first half themselves. It’s likely that we’ll need some sort of output from the Wildcats, but it’s encouraging that they are coming off a BYE week. The ‘Cats offense has shown a willingness to go fast this season(78.7 plays/game), so combined with the extra time to prepare, I expect we see a refined attack against UCLA. I’ll play the 1H Over simply to protect myself from UCLA sitting on a big lead late in the game. 

Week 6 CFB Premium Plays

By
Michael Fordham
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Nov 2, 2019; College Station, TX, USA; UTSA Roadrunners running back Sincere McCormick (23) runs against the Texas A&M Aggies during the first quarter at Kyle Field. Mandatory Credit: John Glaser-USA TODAY Sports

2021 CFB: 37-26-1, +18.01u

Premium Plays: 27-13-1, +21.38u

*CFB(2u): UTSA/Western Kentucky OVER 70(-110)–Sat. 6 PM CT

Nothing like an ol’ Conference USA matchup for my best bet in this Week 6 College Football slate. While the general public might not know about either of these teams, I’ve been paying attention to each very closely this season. I’ve backed Western Kentucky a pair of times(2-0 on those bets) and have seen first-hand just how explosive their offense is. QB Bailey Zappe is putting up other-wordly numbers this season, averaging 428 yards/game through the air while completing 73% of his passes. Don’t let the Hilltoppers’ 1-3 record fool you; they’ve managed to put up 30+ points on Army, Indiana, and Michigan State this season. UTSA’s defense isn’t bad by any means, but this is by far the hardest test from an opposing offense they’ll see this season. As good as WKU’s offense has been, there is a reason they lost each of those aforementioned games: their defense stinks. UTSA stays committed to the running game behind RB Sincere McCormick(108 yards/game this season) but also have a dual-threat QB in Frank Harris, who has gone without a turnover in 4 of 5 games this season. What makes me so confident in this bet is that UTSA runs 84.8 plays/game, good for the 3rd most in College Football. Each team will have plenty of opportunities to put up points in this game, and I expect this one to sail considerably over the total. 

*CFB(1.5u): Michigan State/Rutgers UNDER 52(-110)–Sat. 11 AM CT

Michigan State’s undefeated start is one of the most surprising things I’ve seen this season. The betting market wasn’t high on the Spartans entering year 2 under Mel Tucker, but Tucker’s use of the transfer portal has made a sizable impact on this year’s team. They’ve recorded impressive wins against Miami and Nebraska already, and this will be another tough task. Rutgers started off 3-0 but has dropped its last 2 against Michigan and Ohio State over these last 2 weeks. The offense has too hard of a time generating explosive plays; QB Noah Vedral has yet to achieve greater than 6 yards/attempt in his 4 games against FBS competition this season. Sparty’s defense has looked really solid this season, so I’d expect to see Rutgers’ offensive woes continue. That being said, this Rutgers defense has proven they can keep the Scarlet Knights in games. They held a run-heavy Michigan offense to just 20 points and 3.3 ypc in Ann Arbor 2 weeks ago, so the blueprint is there facing a similar style of offense in Michigan State. Sparty RB Kenneth Walker III has been a godsend, but Nebraska showed 2 weeks ago that he can be beaten(61 yards on 19 carries in that game). QB Payton Thorne has yet to prove he can make big time throws in big time situations yet, so I expect the Rutgers defense to get some stops in front of what should be a raucous home crowd. Rutgers’ path to victory is via a low-scoring game; I expect this game to be competitive, but I believe there is more value on the Under at this number. 

*CFB(1.5u): Georgia Tech/Duke OVER 61(-110)–Sat. 11:30 AM CT

Not very many people are drawn towards Duke football, and rightfully so. Their 3-2 record is a bit misleading considering those wins have come against North Carolina A&T, Kansas, and Northwestern. However, I do see some bright spots on their offense. QB Gunnar Holmberg is completing 72% of his passes this season and has also added 6 touchdowns on the ground. He is joined in the backfield by a hidden gem in RB Mateo Durant; Durant has eclipsed the 100 yard mark in 4 of his 5 games this season(including last week against UNC) and is averaging 6 ypc on the year. The Blue Devils run just over 80 plays/game, good for 8th in all of College Football, so the opportunities to score should be there against what is still an inconsistent Georgia Tech defense(gave up 52 to Pitt last week). I don’t worry hardly at all about Georgia Tech being able to score in this one. Duke has done a poor job of recruiting and developing players on the defensive side of the ball, and if allowing 33 points to Kansas doesn’t make that evident, I don’t know what will. The Yellow Jackets have gotten Jeff Sims integrated back as their starting QB, and I expect it to pay huge dividends down the stretch. Sims is completing 68.5% of his passes this season and specializes in hitting on the deep ball, but he is also averaging over 50 yards/game on the ground throughout his career. When you combine that with a solid 1-2 tandem at RB, this Yellow Jackets offense starts to look more and more explosive. I expect each offense to fair well in Durham on Saturday and for this one to fly over the total. 

*CFB(1.5u): Iowa ML(-125) vs Penn State–Sat. 3 PM CT

Until Iowa’s defense shows any sort of cracks, I simply can’t bet against them. The Hawkeyes lead the nation with 12 INT’s already this season; while turnovers can be unsustainable, I don’t think that’s the case with this defense. Iowa is confident they can win up front with their D-Line, so they lay back in quarters coverage and make the opposing QB beat them with his arm and mind. So far, the Hawkeyes have made a fool out of Michael Penix, Brock Purdy, and Taulia Tagovailoa, and I won’t be surprised if Penn State QB Sean Clifford is the next victim. Clifford is a serviceable QB, but he’s sort of a one trick pony; for instance, 8 of his 17 completions last week went to WR Jahan Dotson. Iowa has a great set of corners, so if they can limit Dotson’s damage, I expect to see Cilfford force some questionable throws to his other WR’s. There is virtually nothing special about Iowa’s offense; there is no doubt they’ve benefited greatly from their defense’s success. Still, QB Spencer Petras has shown extreme improvement from last season; he’s thrown just 1 INT this season and is coming off a game at Maryland where he threw for 259 yards and 3 TD’s while completing 70% of his passes. If Petras can just stay within himself, RB Tyler Goodson and the O-Line should have enough breathing room to put this game away. Iowa has given me no reason to bet against them in a near pick-em game; I still have my doubts about Penn State. Give me the Hawkeyes at home in front of a great home crowd.  

*CFB(1u): Alabama/Texas A&M UNDER 51(-110)–Sat. 7 PM CT

It’s hard to find the path to points for Texas A&M in this game. The Aggies have put up 10 points vs Arkansas and 22 points against Mississippi State over the past 2 weeks, so facing Alabama’s vaunted defense is an absolute nightmare. Considering how well the Tide controlled a potent Ole Miss offensive attack last week, I feel comfortable saying that this Alabama defense is one of the best Nick Saban has had during his 10+ year dynasty in Tuscaloosa. Alabama’s offense is full of playmakers as well, but I actually think they could have their struggles against this Aggie defense. A&M has allowed less than 15 PPG overall this season and are by no means what has led to a 3-2 start for the Aggies. As bulletproof as Alabama often seems, you still have to account for the fact that Bryce Young is a first year QB who will be making just his second true road start in his young career. Alabama got off a hot start in their game at Florida a few weeks ago, but the offense ran into some trouble in the second half and only ended up amassing 31 points in the close win. Kyle Field at night is no easy task for any QB, and given that there is still relative inexperience at the other offensive positions, I expect Alabama’s offense to have a down game. The Tide shouldn’t be in any real threat to lose this game, but I still expect a sloppy, low-scoring affair given the circumstances. 

NFL Week 5 Best Bet

By
Chris R. Farley
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Dak prescott running through the Giants defense.

 

Hey all! Usually I do a write-up every week of one or two of my favorite NFL plays– this week it’s a video! Forgive me if I’m a little AMPED about this one; it features my New York Football Giants against their NFC East rival, the white hot Dallas Cowboys. Check it out!

For my premium picks delivered to your inbox EVERY DAY, click here!
NBA Season Record: 207-152 (58%)
MLB Season Record: 228-198 (54%)
NFL Season Record: 33-26 (56%), +19 units

College Football Week 6 Sharp Movement

By
Kiev O'Neil
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As of Thursday Morning 10/7/21:

Sharp Money On:

Arizona State hosting Stanford -10 to -13.5 – 44% tickets and 87% of the money.

Toledo -10.5 to -13 hosting Northern Illinois – 71% tickets and 97% of the money.

West Virginia +3.5 to +2.5 at Baylor – 49% tickets and 69% of the money.

Georgia Tech -2.5 to -3.5 at Duke – 89% tickets and 97% of the money.

Wisconsin -9.5 to -10.5 at Illinois – 62% tickets and 94% of the money.

UCONN PK to -3.5 at UMASS – 85% tickets and 97% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

South Carolina vs Tennessee under 57 – 43% tickets and 93% of the money.

Maryland vs Ohio State under 71.5 – 65% tickets and 99% of the money.

South Alabama vs Texas State over 53.5 – 57% tickets and 99% of the money.

Boise State vs BYU under 57 – 49% tickets and 92% of the money.

 

 

 

NFL Week 5 Thursday Night Prop Play

By
Kiev O'Neil
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@theoddsbreakers

#sportsbetting #propplay #NFL #thursdaynightfootball #freepicks

♬ original sound – TheOddsBreakers

NFL Week 5 Sharp Movement

By
Kiev O'Neil
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As of Thursday Morning 10/7/21:

Sharp Money On:

Eagles +4 at the Panthers – 33% tickets and 74% of the money.

Bengals +5.5 to +3 – 21% tickets and 53% of the money.

Sharp totals:

Dolphins vs Buccaneers under 50.5 to 48.5 – 46% tickets and 58% of the money.

Lions vs Vikings under 49.5 – 40% tickets and 99% of the money.

Packers vs Bengals under 51.5 – 34% tickets and 74% of the money.

Saints vs Football Team under 46.5 to 44.5 – 37% tickets and 60% of the money.

Alan Cashman: ALDS Game 1

By
Alan Cashman
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10-4 CFB
5-2 NFL

Subscribe to one of my deals here at The OddsBreakers https://theoddsbreakers.com/alan-cashman/

MLB
Game 1 ALDS
White Sox at Astros 4:07 pm
Lynn vs McCullers

Pick: HOU Over 3.5 (-130) 1 unit

Astros love hitting against Lance Lynn

-Lynn 8.80 ERA last 5 vs HOU
-HOU hitters batting .321 lifetime vs Lynn
-Lynn has allowed 4 or more runs in each of last 5 starts vs HOU
-CHW 6-15 last 21 meetings

World Cup Qualifying — 5 Free Picks for October 9th

By
Jaden Lewis
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The iconic FIFA World Cup trophy displayed with background of city skyline. (photo by news.miami.edu)

*I have to say, betting International Football is one of my favorites to gamble on. A couple
unders on the card for the first round of matches. Part of the reasoning is due to the fact that there is a lack of cohesion at times during the first round of the international games. Players are all coming off important games with their club teams and then get thrown into playing with an entirely new set of players that they don’t play with all that often. For some teams, it takes a while for them to settle and produce that flow offensively.

*WCQ: Republic of Ireland to WIN (+115) vs Azerbaijan
The last time these two teams played was on September 4th during the previous international break. It finished 1-1, and the Irish supporters were livid with the outcome against lower-level opposition. In this game, Ireland had 21 shots to Azerbaijan’s 10, with 59% possession. Now, this is an important game for Ireland and one they desperately need to win to have any hope at qualification. They are helped by having many Premier League players opposed to Azerbaijan who have a team with no significant high-class talent. Both teams are yet to grab a win in the group yet but expect Ireland to take advantage of a weak Azerbaijan side and grab this all-important victory.

*WCQ: Hungary Win or Draw & Under 2.5 Goals (-115) vs Albania
Both of these teams are very sound defensively when coming up against similar level opposition as we see here. Aside from against the two frontrunners of this group, England and Poland, Albania is yet to concede a goal against any other side, while Hungary has only conceded three with a very impressive EURO 2020 run lodged in-between. The last game between these two finished 1-0 to Albania. A total of only five shots on goal were created that day, in a game decided by an 87th-minute winner. Albania sits second in the group but three points for Hungary could lift them a point above the Albanians. So with that, expect Albania to play pretty defensively and gladly take a draw against a good Hungary side away from home. The Hungarians will be playing the game with no fans in the stadium, which in my opinion only will help this one become a very low-scoring affair. I could see Hungary snatching this one in the same fashion as Albania did in September, in a match where a win is needed much more for Hungary than it is for Albania.

*WCQ: Austria to Win to Nil (-118) vs Faroe Islands
The Faroe Islands are just not good. They have only scored four goals in the group so far with three of them coming against last place, Moldova. The other goal came in a 3-1 defeat to Austria in the last game these two sides played. No doubt that the Austrians win this game, but I also have no doubt that the Faroe Islands will be kept off of the scoresheet. Obviously, one main reason is just that Austria has such quality in their team as opposed to the players of Faroe Islands. In their last matchup, Austria had 27 shots to nine and controlled 71% of the possession. Yes, Faroe Islands did grab one against Austria last time, but it happens, and all that could lose this bet is a mistake or unlucky bounce leading to a goal. Other than that, this bet is safe.

*WCQ: Switzerland to Win & Under 3.5 Goals (-130) vs Northern Ireland
These two sides faced off very recently in September and the contest ended 0-0. Switzerland did miss a penalty but they also only created three shots on target. Three shots on target are pretty worrying when we are looking to get a win from them. But, Northern Ireland didn’t manage a single shot on target throughout the 90 minutes and only had 25% possession in that time. There was absolutely no goal threat from the Northern Irish. Considering this game was away from home for the Swiss, the result wasn’t a bad one. Switzerland are second in the group behind Italy and are yet to lose a game so far. In four games played, they have only conceded one goal and scored four. So, they rarely concede and are also pretty minimal on the scoring front. At home against a very underwhelming Northern Ireland side should see a comfortable performance lead to an easy 1,2 or 3-0 win.

*WCQ Can’t Lose Parlay: (Serbia to Win) + (Scotland vs Israel Under 1.5 First Half Goals) (-118)
LOVED these two picks separately but the odds were just not good enough to be giving them out as picks. BUT, adding them together creates a parlay that CANNOT lose. Let’s start with Serbia to win against Luxembourg. The odds for this separately sit at (-250). Serbia are yet to lose a game in the group, including a difficult match against Portugal. They are solid. They have the talent and cohesion to be a very good team. The last match between the two in September finished 4-1 to Serbia and they absolutely controlled the game. Eight shots on target to Luxembourg’s one, 54% possession, and a dominating scoreline. Serbia will be too much again for the weaker Luxembourg.
Now for Scotland vs Israel under 1.5 first-half goals. The line for this one sits at (-334). I have hit on 3/4 when picking Scotland games to be 0-0 at the half. They are just that team. These two teams have played three competitive games in recent times which have all ended the half with one goal or less. The games have all ended up finishing in two goals or less. Both teams are solid defensively and although they both contain some attacking talent, the creativity and chemistry aren’t fully there. This could come down to the reasoning given at the beginning of the piece, and I don’t see this trend going in any other direction. I expect a 0-0 first-half scoreline, and I will also be betting that at (+150), but under 1.5 first-half goals is VERY safe and will definitely hit.

Free MLB Postseason Plus Money Props for Thursday, October 7th

By
Nick Hub
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We went 3-0 in our free plus money playoff props last night which brings us to 5-2. Below are 4 more plus money props for the games today.  We finished the MLB regular season 196-169 (54%) and up 122 units and are looking for our 1st MLB Postseason Premium Pick!!  We do have a Premium NFL play available for tonight at SPORTS PICK HUB or get my monthly all access pass HERE at The Odds Breakers.

Jose Altuve owns a .432 wOBA, 3 doubles and 2 homeruns off Lance Lynn in 34 at bats and has a .381 wOBA, 2 doubles and 1 homerun in the past week. Take Over 1.5 total bases +120

Hunter Renfroe owns a .471 wOBA and 1 homerun while hitting .375 in 8 at bats against Shane McClanahan and has hit to a .326 wOBA and has hit 3 homeruns in the past week. Take Over 1.5 total bases +125 and Over 0.5 homeruns +400

Randy Arozarena owns a .353 wOBA and 1 double while hitting .364 in 11 at bats against Eduardo Rodriguez and has a .414 wOBA, 1 double and 1 homerun in the last 7 days. Take Over 1.5 total bases +125

October 7th MLB Free Play

By
Michael Fordham
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I started out the Postseason with a winner on the F5 UNDER in the Cards/Dodgers last night. Today, I’ve got another 1u MLB free play in addition to a premium play in CFB. My premium record sits at 26-13-1 and has netted my members +20.38u in just over a month. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*MLB(1u): White Sox/Astros OVER 8(+100)–3:07 PM CT

The White Sox and Astros both feature offenses that were among the best in the league all throughout the regular season; that stands true in both the batting average and power department. While each SP has good surface numbers, I believe each is vulnerable to some trouble today. Lance McCullers had a somewhat measly 1.22 WHIP this season due to the fact he walked 4.2 batters/9 innings. His 3.16 ERA has masked these issues, but come the postseason, a walk rate that high can have serious ramifications. Houston’s bullpen is certainly not its strength as a team, and if McCullers struggles with walks, they could be given the responsibilities of this game earlier than wanted. I like the White Sox to take advantage of some sloppiness on the mound and keep themselves in this game. White Sox SP Lance Lynn had a sub-3.00 ERA in the regular season, but I don’t see that translating into the postseason. Chicago played in the easiest division in baseball that didn’t feature must resistance from opposing offenses; this Astros lineup is a far cry from the other AL Central lineups. 5 of the projected starters for Houston today have a career OPS over 1.000 in their past matchups with Lynn, and the veteran righty has struggled a bit on the road(1.21 WHIP). The Astros offense really kicked it into gear to close out the season; even though the White Sox have an above average bullpen, I’ll still put my trust in the Houston bats. 8 is a fair total given it is the postseason, but each of these offenses have what it takes to send this Game 1 over the total.

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